{"id":156179,"date":"2025-10-24T15:11:51","date_gmt":"2025-10-24T18:11:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/?p=156179"},"modified":"2025-10-24T15:11:51","modified_gmt":"2025-10-24T18:11:51","slug":"atlasintel-bloomberg-lula-lidera-contra-nomes-da-direita-e-venceria-a-eleicao-no-1o-turno","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/brasil\/atlasintel-bloomberg-lula-lidera-contra-nomes-da-direita-e-venceria-a-eleicao-no-1o-turno.html","title":{"rendered":"AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg: Lula lidera contra nomes da direita e venceria a elei\u00e7\u00e3o no 1\u00ba turno"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\" ads-container\">\n<div class=\"styles__Container-sc-1v8tg5g-0 gQVAfk\">\n<div class=\"ads-placeholder-wrapper\">\n<div id=\"htopo-1\" class=\"styles__AdSlotStyled-sc-1l64tzh-0 eotsDo formato-htopo\" data-google-query-id=\"CNau4oq3vZADFQJI3QId6scxFw\">\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/118650305\/politica\/noticia_0__container__\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"default__StyledWrapper-sc-1jubmr2-0 jYtVxt styled-wrapper   \">\n<div class=\"styles__Tag-sc-1kqcjew-0 styles__TagStyled-sc-1kqcjew-1 dEOAIa fmXPTg container\">\n<div class=\"styles__Tag-sc-1kqcjew-0 styles__TagStyled-sc-1kqcjew-1 dEOAIa fmXPTg row\">\n<div class=\"styles__Tag-sc-1kqcjew-0 styles__TagStyled-sc-1kqcjew-1 dEOAIa fmXPTg col-12\">\n<div class=\"styles__AuthorsNoticiaContainerStyled-sc-q2i3u1-0 bSfDsP authors-noticia\">\n<div class=\"container-content authors-noticia-content --length-3\">\n<div class=\"photos\">\n<div class=\"photo\"><img title=\"Gabriel de Sousa\" src=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/resizer\/v2\/https%3A%2F%2Fauthor-service-images-prod-us-east-1.publishing.aws.arc.pub%2Festadao%2F9b5fc0bc-a2b7-4f8c-9b6c-bdf9a0ac307e.jpg?quality=80&amp;auth=bfa003870d5e7f3b84668906783150a11d7ce50c27ad61b48ae3b7e8f8a80da3&amp;width=60&amp;height=60&amp;smart=true\" alt=\"Foto do autor Gabriel de Sousa\" \/><\/div>\n<div class=\"photo\"><img title=\"Victor Ohana\" src=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/resizer\/v2\/https%3A%2F%2Fauthor-service-images-prod-us-east-1.publishing.aws.arc.pub%2Festadao%2F5a430681-9bb8-4bb0-955e-0129791b6e01.jpg?quality=80&amp;auth=cb47912a3c5db47f3058f5c4e02d65dc5dd897de9475a80decde5ce460182941&amp;width=60&amp;height=60&amp;smart=true\" alt=\"Foto do autor Victor Ohana\" \/><\/div>\n<div class=\"photo\"><img title=\"Raisa Toledo\" src=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/resizer\/v2\/https%3A%2F%2Fauthor-service-images-prod-us-east-1.publishing.aws.arc.pub%2Festadao%2F13c05478-eaca-44ac-b0ba-64605ddf56c5.jpeg?quality=80&amp;auth=fee6346c36bfb8cf8863ab45a2aef2f7429ead911b18a1d63493b0861a35d19d&amp;width=60&amp;height=60&amp;smart=true\" alt=\"Foto do autor Raisa Toledo\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"informs\">\n<div class=\"names\">Por <a title=\"Ir para p\u00e1gina do autor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/autores\/gabriel-de-sousa\/\" data-component-name=\"pagina-autor\">Gabriel de Sousa (Broadcast)<\/a>, <a title=\"Ir para p\u00e1gina do autor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/autores\/victor-ohana\/\" data-component-name=\"pagina-autor\">Victor Ohana (Broadcast)<\/a> e Raisa Toledo<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"default__StyledWrapper-sc-1jubmr2-0 jYtVxt styled-wrapper   \">\n<div class=\"styles__Tag-sc-1kqcjew-0 styles__TagStyled-sc-1kqcjew-1 dEOAIa fmXPTg container\">\n<div class=\"styles__Tag-sc-1kqcjew-0 styles__TagStyled-sc-1kqcjew-1 dEOAIa fmXPTg row\">\n<div class=\"styles__Tag-sc-1kqcjew-0 styles__TagStyled-sc-1kqcjew-1 dEOAIa fmXPTg col-12\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"styles__ContentWrapperContainerStyled-sc-1ehbu6v-0 iMMgpd content-wrapper  \"><\/div>\n<div id=\"content\" class=\"styles__ContentWrapperContainerStyled-sc-1ehbu6v-0 iMMgpd content-wrapper -paywall-parent box\">\n<div class=\"styles__ContentWrapperContainerStyled-sc-1ehbu6v-0 iMMgpd content-wrapper news-body container content template-reportagem already-sliced already-checked\" data-paywall-wrapper=\"true\">\n<p class=\"styles__ParagraphStyled-sc-6adecn-0 gsLklW  \" data-component-name=\"paragraph\">BRAS\u00cdLIA \u2014 Pesquisa AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg divulgada nesta sexta-feira, 24, aponta que o presidente <a title=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/lula-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva\/\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/lula-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva<\/strong><\/a> (PT) venceria a disputa pela Presid\u00eancia ainda em primeiro turno nas <a title=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/eleicoes-2026\/\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/eleicoes-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2026<\/strong><\/a>. Contra todos os oponentes da direita, o petista tem 51% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto ou mais.<\/p>\n<p class=\"styles__ParagraphStyled-sc-6adecn-0 gsLklW  \" data-component-name=\"paragraph\">Em cen\u00e1rio onde o principal advers\u00e1rio da direita \u00e9 o governador de S\u00e3o Paulo, <a title=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/tarcisio-de-freitas\/\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/tarcisio-de-freitas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas<\/strong><\/a> (Republicanos), Lula tem 51,3% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto, seguido por Tarc\u00edsio, com 30,4%. Em seguida, aparecem o governador de Goi\u00e1s, <a title=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/ronaldo-caiado\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/ronaldo-caiado\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Ronaldo Caiado<\/strong><\/a> (Uni\u00e3o), com 6%, o governador do Paran\u00e1, <a title=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/ratinho-junior\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/ratinho-junior\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Ratinho J\u00fanior<\/strong><\/a> (PSD), com 3%, e o governador de Minas Gerais, <a title=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/romeu-zema\/\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/romeu-zema\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Romeu Zema<\/strong><\/a> (Novo), com 2,5%. Brancos e nulos somam 5% e 1,9% dos entrevistados n\u00e3o souberam ou n\u00e3o quiseram responder.<\/p>\n<div class=\"figure-image-container\">Em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com a <a title=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/politica\/atlasbloomberg-em-cenario-de-disputa-para-2026-lula-tem-482-tarcisio-304-e-ciro-gomes-43\/\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/politica\/atlasbloomberg-em-cenario-de-disputa-para-2026-lula-tem-482-tarcisio-304-e-ciro-gomes-43\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>\u00faltima pesquisa, divulgada no m\u00eas passado<\/strong><\/a>, Lula abriu uma dist\u00e2ncia de 3,1 pontos porcentuais. Antes, ele tinha 48,2% enquanto Tarc\u00edsio aparecia com os mesmos 30,4%.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"container container-bodyTop datawrapper-ZWZBk-13fcjr6\">\n<div class=\"container container-bodyCenter datawrapper-ZWZBk-112zasr\">\n<div class=\"container container-header datawrapper-ZWZBk-rpmls8\">\n<h3 class=\"block-headline datawrapper-ZWZBk-16cs784 \">tlas\/Bloomberg: inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto no 1\u00ba turno<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"chart\" class=\"dw-chart-body vis-height-fixed datawrapper-ZWZBk-2irvu4 svelte-9ysojt\">\n<div class=\"dw-chart-body-content svelte-9ysojt datawrapper-ZWZBk-13zcs6p bc-label-align-left bc-hide-dots bc-grid-top bc-labels-left\" aria-hidden=\"false\">\n<div class=\"bc-groups\">\n<div class=\"bc-group\" role=\"region\" aria-label=\"bar chart with 6 bars.\">\n<div class=\"bc-group-content\">\n<div class=\"bc-group-content-inner\">\n<div class=\"bc-row first-row\">\n<div class=\"bc-row-label row-label chart-text label\" data-column=\"Candidato\" data-row=\"0\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Lula<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bars\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-bg dw-rect\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner dw-rect\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Bar 1 of 6, &quot;Lula&quot;: 51,3%\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner value-labels\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-label chart-text value label inverted inside align-left\" aria-hidden=\"true\">51,3%<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-row row-divider\">\n<div class=\"bc-row-label row-label chart-text label\" data-column=\"Candidato\" data-row=\"1\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bars\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-bg dw-rect\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner dw-rect\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Bar 2 of 6, &quot;Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas&quot;: 30,4%\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner value-labels\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-label chart-text value label inverted inside align-left\" aria-hidden=\"true\">30,4%<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-row row-divider\">\n<div class=\"bc-row-label row-label chart-text label\" data-column=\"Candidato\" data-row=\"2\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Ronaldo Caiado<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bars\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-bg dw-rect\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner dw-rect\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Bar 3 of 6, &quot;Ronaldo Caiado&quot;: 6,0%\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner value-labels\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-label chart-text value label inverted inside align-left\" aria-hidden=\"true\">6,0%<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-row row-divider\">\n<div class=\"bc-row-label row-label chart-text label\" data-column=\"Candidato\" data-row=\"3\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Ratinho J\u00fanior<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bars\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-bg dw-rect\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner dw-rect\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Bar 4 of 6, &quot;Ratinho J\u00fanior&quot;: 3,0%\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner value-labels\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-label chart-text value label inverted inside align-left\" aria-hidden=\"true\">3,0%<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-row row-divider\">\n<div class=\"bc-row-label row-label chart-text label\" data-column=\"Candidato\" data-row=\"4\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Romeu Zema<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bars\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-bg dw-rect\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner dw-rect\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Bar 5 of 6, &quot;Romeu Zema&quot;: 2,5%\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner value-labels\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-label chart-text value label\" aria-hidden=\"true\">2,5%<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-row last-row row-divider\">\n<div class=\"bc-row-label row-label chart-text label\" data-column=\"Candidato\" data-row=\"5\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o sei<\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bars\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-bg dw-rect\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner dw-rect\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Bar 6 of 6, &quot;Branco\/nulo\/n\u00e3o sei&quot;: 6,9%\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"bc-bar-inner value-labels\">\n<div class=\"bc-bar-label chart-text value label inside align-left\" aria-hidden=\"true\">6,9%<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"container container-footer datawrapper-ZWZBk-1glppcz\">\n<div class=\"container container-footerMain datawrapper-ZWZBk-1jrvvdx\"><span class=\"block-byline datawrapper-ZWZBk-1nrs9uk \"><span class=\"caption\" aria-hidden=\"false\">Gr\u00e1fico:<\/span> Estad\u00e3o<\/span><wbr \/><span class=\"block-source datawrapper-ZWZBk-1nrs9uk \"><span class=\"caption\" aria-hidden=\"false\">Fonte:<\/span> <span class=\"source\">A AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg ouviu 14.063 pessoas entre 15 e 19 de outubro. A margem de erro \u00e9 de um ponto porcentual e o \u00edndice de confiabilidade \u00e9 de 95%.<\/span><\/span><wbr \/><a class=\"block-getTheData datawrapper-ZWZBk-idivi9 \" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\"><span class=\"caption\" aria-hidden=\"false\">Obter dados<\/span><\/a><wbr \/><span class=\"block-attribution datawrapper-ZWZBk-1nrs9uk \"><span class=\"caption\" aria-hidden=\"false\">Criado com<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.datawrapper.de\/_\/ZWZBk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Datawrapper<\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"styles__EmbedContainerLazy-sc-8tx6a-0 cXZup embed-container-lazy\">\n<div class=\"styles__EmbedWrapper-sc-8tx6a-1 jhXNZt embed-wrapper raw_html\">\n<div class=\"embed-container\">\n<div class=\"embed-container raw_html\"><iframe id=\"datawrapper-chart-ZWZBk\" title=\"Atlas\/Bloomberg: inten\u00e7\u00e3o de voto no 1\u00ba turno\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/ZWZBk\/2\/\" height=\"221\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Bar Chart\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"styles__MultiParagraphAdStyled-sc-1yb8ue6-0 dAAozZ\" data-component-name=\"multi-paragraph\">\n<div class=\" ads-container\">\n<div class=\"styles__Container-sc-1v8tg5g-0 fGpMYp\">\n<p class=\"ads-placeholder-label\">PUBLICIDADE<\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-placeholder-wrapper\">\n<div id=\"tmeio1-2\" class=\"styles__AdSlotStyled-sc-1l64tzh-0 eotsDo formato-tmeio1\" data-google-query-id=\"CKqO9pm3vZADFRs5uQYdOS8ASg\">\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/118650305\/politica\/noticia_1__container__\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"paragraph\">\n<p>J\u00e1 em cen\u00e1rio onde a principal advers\u00e1ria de Lula \u00e9 a ex-primeira-dama <a title=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/michelle-de-paula-bolsonaro\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/michelle-de-paula-bolsonaro\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Michelle Bolsonaro<\/strong><\/a> (PL), Lula tem 51%, enquanto ela surge com 26,2%. Em seguida, pontuam Caiado (9,1%), Ratinho J\u00fanior (5,1%) e Zema (4,6%). N\u00e3o souberam ou n\u00e3o quiseram responder s\u00e3o 0,8% e outros 3,2% indicaram voto em branco ou nulo.<\/p>\n<p>Em sondagem sem Michelle e Tarc\u00edsio, Lula tem 51,3% e \u00e9 seguido por Caiado (15,3%), Zema (10,6%) e Ratinho J\u00fanior (10,4%). Nesta hip\u00f3teses, os brancos e nulos sobem para 9,4% e 3,4% dos entrevistados n\u00e3o quiseram ou n\u00e3o souberam responder.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"styles__ParagraphStyled-sc-6adecn-0 gsLklW  \" data-component-name=\"paragraph\">A AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg tamb\u00e9m avaliou um cen\u00e1rio onde Lula n\u00e3o disputa e \u00e9 substitu\u00eddo pelo ministro da Fazenda, <a title=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/fernando-haddad\" href=\"https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/tudo-sobre\/fernando-haddad\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Fernando Haddad<\/strong><\/a> (PT). Nesta hip\u00f3tese, Haddad tem 43,1% e \u00e9 seguido por Tarc\u00edsio (30,1%), Caiado (7%), Ratinho J\u00fanior (3,5%) e Zema (2,6%). Brancos e nulos somam 10,8% e 2,9% dos entrevistados n\u00e3o souberam ou n\u00e3o quiseram responder.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"fb_share_1\" style=\"float: right; margin-left: 10px;\"><a name=\"fb_share\" type=\"button\" share_url=\"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/brasil\/atlasintel-bloomberg-lula-lidera-contra-nomes-da-direita-e-venceria-a-eleicao-no-1o-turno.html\" href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php\">Share<\/a><\/div><div><script src=\"http:\/\/static.ak.fbcdn.net\/connect.php\/js\/FB.Share\" type=\"text\/javascript\"><\/script><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Gabriel de Sousa (Broadcast), Victor Ohana (Broadcast) e Raisa Toledo BRAS\u00cdLIA \u2014 Pesquisa AtlasIntel\/Bloomberg divulgada nesta sexta-feira, 24, aponta que o presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) venceria a disputa pela Presid\u00eancia ainda em primeiro turno nas elei\u00e7\u00f5es de 2026. Contra todos os oponentes da direita, o petista tem 51% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":156180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[8],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Lula21.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/156179"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=156179"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/156179\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":156181,"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/156179\/revisions\/156181"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/156180"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=156179"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=156179"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=156179"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}