{"id":159843,"date":"2026-08-05T07:42:35","date_gmt":"2026-08-05T10:42:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/?p=159843"},"modified":"2026-08-05T07:42:35","modified_gmt":"2026-08-05T10:42:35","slug":"lula-tem-44-contra-39-de-flavio-bolsonaro-no-2o-turno-diz-genial-quaest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.orc.com.br\/novo\/brasil\/lula-tem-44-contra-39-de-flavio-bolsonaro-no-2o-turno-diz-genial-quaest.html","title":{"rendered":"Lula tem 44% contra 39% de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro no 2\u00ba turno, diz Genial\/Quaest"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Ambos os candidatos oscilaram dentro da margem de erro de dois pontos porcentuais desde a rodada anterior da pesquisa, divulgada em julho. Lula foi de 45% a 44% e Fl\u00e1vio, de 37% a 39%. No comparativo das \u00faltimas tr\u00eas rodadas, os \u00edndices de ambos seguem estagnados. \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0Lula tamb\u00e9m vence as simula\u00e7\u00f5es de segundo turno contra Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o)<\/a>, Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)<\/a> e Romeu Zema (Novo)<\/a>. O petista tamb\u00e9m est\u00e1 na lideran\u00e7a do cen\u00e1rio estimulado de primeiro turno, al\u00e9m de reunir o maior n\u00famero de men\u00e7\u00f5es na pesquisa espont\u00e2nea.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

No primeiro turno, Lula registrou 39% de inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto no cen\u00e1rio estimulado. \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0Lula e Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro tamb\u00e9m s\u00e3o os candidatos mais rejeitados pelo eleitorado. O senador do PL \u00e9 rejeitado por 54% dos eleitores, e o presidente, por 52%.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n

A pesquisa Genial\/Quaest entrevistou 2.004 pessoas entre os dias 31 de julho e 3 de agosto. A margem de erro \u00e9 de dois pontos porcentuais, e o n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a \u00e9 de 95%. O levantamento est\u00e1 registrado no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral sob o protocolo BR-06591\/2026.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

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